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Tuesday, July 28Tue, July 28

Asian Handicap

Handicap

-1

Points Total

Total

9.5

Trend Prioritization

Top Signals

HIGH RELEVANCE • STRONG SAMPLE
  • Tigers have struggled vs the run line this season.

    • Overall: As favourite: Run line record: 7-20-0 (Fades 74% vs run line).
    • As favourite in this run line range (Run line −1): Run line record: 6-15-0 (Fades 71% vs run line).
      • Last season: Run line record: 14-22-6 (Fades 61% vs run line).
    • When at home: As favourite: Run line record: 4-13-0 (Fades 76% vs run line).
    • When at home as favourite in this run line range (Run line −1): Run line record: 4-8-0 (Fades 67% vs run line).
    AwayA
  • Orioles have faded more often against the run line when Dean Kremer starts for Orioles (over the last 2 seasons).

    • Overall: As underdog: Run line record: 2-7-1 (Fades 78% vs run line).
    • As underdog in this run line range (Run line +1): Run line record: 1-5-1 (Fades 83% vs run line).
    • When away: Run line record against this line range (Run line +1): 7-13-0 (Fades 65% vs run line).
    • As underdog: Run line record: 1-7-0 (Fades 88% vs run line).
    • When away as underdog in this run line range (Run line +1): Run line record: 1-5-0 (Fades 83% vs run line).
    HomeH
  • Tigers have a strong edge vs the run line in this head-to-head (last 5 seasons).

    • When Tigers play at home against Orioles: 8-4-1 (Tigers cover 67% vs run line).
    • In games with a similar run line when Tigers are at home: 2-0-1 (Tigers cover 100% vs run line).
    HomeH

Low Relevance / Small Sample

INFORMATIONAL ONLY
  • Tigers show a modest cover tendency against the run line when Troy Melton starts for Tigers (over the last 2 seasons).

    • When at home: Run line record against this line range (Run line −1): 3-2-0 (Covers 60% vs run line).
    HomeH

Betting Lines & Movement

Asian Handicap
-1

Line movement history

  • -1Jul 276:00 PM

Lines update based on betting volume and market activity

Points Total (O/U)
9.5

Line movement history

  • 9.5Jul 276:00 PM

Lines update based on betting volume and market activity

Game Insights

Tigers - Season PerformanceTigers - Season Performance

Key Insights

As Favorite: 26% AH coverage

Games Played

100

AH Coverage

44%

Under Rate

53%

Avg Runs

8.2

Runs For

4.2

Runs Against

4.0

As Favorite

26%

As Underdog

51%

Orioles - Season PerformanceOrioles - Season Performance

Key Insights

No betting data available for this filter.

Games Played

102

AH Coverage

46%

Under Rate

46%

Avg Runs

9.2

Runs For

4.5

Runs Against

4.7

As Favorite

45%

As Underdog

47%

Data Source

Current Season

All Games

Asian Handicap
47–52–347%
Cover rate this season
Points Total
51–47–452% O
Over / Under split

All Away Games

Asian Handicap
22–26–246%
Cover rate this season
Points Total
25–23–252% O
Over / Under split

As Underdog

Overall
10–12–145%
Cover rate this season
Away
9–10–147%
Cover rate this season

Run line +1

Overall
6–9–140%
Cover rate this season
Away
5–7–142%
Cover rate this season

Total 9–9.5

Overall
18–18–250% O
Over / Under split
Away
8–7–153% O
Over / Under split